Thread | Brutkey

I hope Marcy posts this here, but if you can, read this thread.

https://bsky.app/profile/emptywheel.bsky.social/post/3ls7xx4b3ss2m

Emptywheel:

I'm really shocked how little commentary there has been about China's likely response.

Edelruth, PBS Passport Holder
@Edelruth@mastodon.online

@GottaLaff@mstdn.social

I guess I'm stupid. I thought it would be the US trying to cut off the straits since Iran is 100% dependent on that waterway to get its (20% of world...) oil exports out to e.g. Pakistan.

Why would Iran halt that?
What is it that I do not know?

Side note: I am finding it impossible to say "the West" and mean the US and Europe. The US is not part of a western alliance anymore in my head. It has divorced western democratic ideals.

Edelruth, PBS Passport Holder
@Edelruth@mastodon.online

@GottaLaff@mstdn.social

From @gwagner@fediscience.org

Ah, well, that's me told. I hope the Security Council realises this would hurt everyone but the US, and give Trump the card he is looking for.

Not holding my breath.

From @newseye.bsky.social, June 22, 2025
Breaking Iran's parliament approved the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Decision needs ratified by Iran's Security Council.

It would trap 20% of the world's oil supply and send a catastrophic shock through the global economy.

Includes a photo showing the location of the Strait of Hormuzbetween Iran to the north, and the point of the UAE, side-by-side Oman, to the south. It creates a narrowing of the Persian gulf before it becomes the Gulf of Oman, and the Arabian sea, which is the access to ocean for Pakistan, a major oil customer of Iran.

Hartmut Neubauer
@agrinova@social.cologne

@Edelruth@mastodon.online @GottaLaff@mstdn.social @gwagner@fediscience.org But may also be that the closure of the Hormuz street would be a good news because it might be an occasion to say goodbye to fossil fuels and to concentrate on renewables and e-cars.