Brutkey

Jay Thoden van Velzen ☁☁️​🛡🛡️​:lolsob:
@jaythvv@infosec.exchange

It is the season for predictions for the new year. I did some for the csoh.org cloudsec community, and they were well received. Since they're too 🌶🌶️🌶🌶️🌶🌶️ for LinkedIn ;) this seems the better place for them.

They run from likely to ok 😂😂, probably not - but all of them have some source to them and a non-zero chance of happening. To be clear, I hope most of them don't come true...

#cloudsecurity #cybersecurity #infosec #2026predictions #2026cyberpredictions

- Ransomware incident with greater financial and operational impact than JLR (> £1.5B) - An agentic AI system causes a major incident without any human malicious intent – just agents displaying “catastrophic emergent misalignment” - Rise of “Euro Tech” on high demand for digital sovereignty/resilience (+ other non-🇺🇸🇮🇱🇨🇳 tech) - World outside 🇺🇸 adopts ISO standards and local or EU regulations for trust in technology services and AI, similar to CE , abandoning NIST, NVD, CISA, etc. - AI infrastructure providers pull back on data center commitments citing added costs, zoning problems, and local civic resistance – which conveniently eases financial market concerns while keeping bubble going - New AI company comes out of stealth and releases energy-efficient “world models”, rendering state-of-the-art GenAI models “obsolete” - Wiz/Google settle patent case with Orca out of court for $$$$$ - Orca loses its patent case, and the entire cloudsec industry adopts agentless side-scanning instantly - Google acquires a major cyber security leader (<cough> Palo Alto Networks </cough>) - Cybersec industry finally realizes Hypershield exists and Cisco is going to eat their lunch, adopts eBPF - First legislation implementing software service liability (likely 🇪🇺 as expansion of CRA – maybe 🇯🇵 or 🇬🇧) - Conflict between US and EU over digital services regulation escalates and results in technology bans – causing global economic collapse, revolutions and the collapse of nation states