To clarify, I don't think this is at all catastrophic. Just bad. Making orbit less safe with every explosion. Making that CRASH Clock a little shorter, giving operators a little less time to respond, requiring more tracking, more maneuvers, and increasing operating risks in orbit.
I look at https://spaceweather.com/ all the time to check for auroras. Pretty cool to see a paper I'm a co-author on featured there!!
So much snow
Also the dog house has a removable roof, so I was able to get a picture of the 3 goats, who are still happily snuggled in there.
School buses are cancelled again (they really really should have just cancelled school this whole week), I had to dig through large snowdrifts to open 2 different gates (again), and there were 3 goats snuggled together inside one doghouse. [something something 3 goat night]
AAAhhhhhhhh so much to do today!!!! Wish me luck.
So much snow
Oh hooray, another Alberta Clipper for tomorrow. Alberta still blows.
Doesn't look like this one will qualify as a full-on blizzard...between this weather and so many students being sick, they really just should have cancelled school for the whole week. Sigh.
School buses are cancelled again (they really really should have just cancelled school this whole week), I had to dig through large snowdrifts to open 2 different gates (again), and there were 3 goats snuggled together inside one doghouse. [something something 3 goat night]
AAAhhhhhhhh so much to do today!!!! Wish me luck.
Ok hive mind: I have a really great sourdough starter going, and I'm leaving for 3 months. Do I save it or plan to start it over again when I get back? (I started this one from flour and water, so I know it can be done)
And only one pipe frozen in the house! Trying to thaw that now and will insulate better later today (we did a bunch of work on the plumbing over the summer and this was the first real test of it...which it failed haha)
Oh hooray, another Alberta Clipper for tomorrow. Alberta still blows.
Doesn't look like this one will qualify as a full-on blizzard...between this weather and so many students being sick, they really just should have cancelled school for the whole week. Sigh.
Oh hey look, a Starlink satellite "experienced an anomaly" and ejected a bunch of debris. Explosion? Debris hit? Either way, not good..
https://www.pcmag.com/news/starlink-satellite-malfunctions-ejects-debris-fragments
editing to add snark (because that's how I deal with bad news I guess): Don't worry everyone, SpaceX says it'll reenter in a few weeks and totally won't crash into anything! Please ignore the spray of debris that's at basically the exact same altitude as the ISS!
To clarify, I don't think this is at all catastrophic. Just bad. Making orbit less safe with every explosion. Making that CRASH Clock a little shorter, giving operators a little less time to respond, requiring more tracking, more maneuvers, and increasing operating risks in orbit.
I've seen some truly bad headlines related to this paper. Clearly LLM-written and not checked well. The funniest (saddest) ones seem to imply that 3 days from now, there will definitely be a crash in orbit.
I'm glad conversations are happening as a result of this paper. I hope the right conversations happen with the right people, and maybe some regulations will happen? Probably not fast enough. But I'm still holding out hope (and writing lots of letters to the FCC).
Oh hey look, a Starlink satellite "experienced an anomaly" and ejected a bunch of debris. Explosion? Debris hit? Either way, not good..
https://www.pcmag.com/news/starlink-satellite-malfunctions-ejects-debris-fragments
editing to add snark (because that's how I deal with bad news I guess): Don't worry everyone, SpaceX says it'll reenter in a few weeks and totally won't crash into anything! Please ignore the spray of debris that's at basically the exact same altitude as the ISS!
It's been interesting putting up a high-impact (hopefully no pun there) paper and getting lots of feedback! One (highly respected!) scientist graciously showed us a small error in our calculation, which we have fixed. It's like crowd-sourced peer-review. Interesting.
So, with that fix, the CRASH Clock is now at 5 days instead of 3 days. (If you think that extra time means there's no problem, you missed the point here!)
New from Scientific American: https://archive.ph/6BwqQ
I've seen some truly bad headlines related to this paper. Clearly LLM-written and not checked well. The funniest (saddest) ones seem to imply that 3 days from now, there will definitely be a crash in orbit.
I'm glad conversations are happening as a result of this paper. I hope the right conversations happen with the right people, and maybe some regulations will happen? Probably not fast enough. But I'm still holding out hope (and writing lots of letters to the FCC).
2 interviews lined up to talk about the CRASH Clock so far!
And I usually say yes to just about every interview request I get, but I got 1 interview request on a non-urgent, non-time-sensitive astronomy topic late on a Friday afternoon asking to talk today or tomorrow. I think I will have to blow that one off and focus on other things.
It's been interesting putting up a high-impact (hopefully no pun there) paper and getting lots of feedback! One (highly respected!) scientist graciously showed us a small error in our calculation, which we have fixed. It's like crowd-sourced peer-review. Interesting.
So, with that fix, the CRASH Clock is now at 5 days instead of 3 days. (If you think that extra time means there's no problem, you missed the point here!)
New from Scientific American: https://archive.ph/6BwqQ
Prof. Sam Lawler